http://news.sina.com.tw/article/20130831/10545450.html
北京新浪網 (2013-08-31 03:55)
孫琦子
素來以「穩健」著稱的德國房價一反常態,在9月大選前夕躋身德國選戰議題,基民盟和社民黨都宣稱要遏制住大城市的高房價,而房市升溫也重新吸引了德國國內外投資者的目光。
房價、租金齊看漲
漢堡最大的房地產聯盟LBS對德國860個城市的二手房和新房市場進行了調查,
結果表明,房價普漲已成事實。越富的地方房價越高:德國東部的房價最低,之後是北部和西部,最貴的房價出現在南部地區。單戶住宅二手房需求強勁,尤其是在
德國東部;聯排別墅需求也很大,但數量不多。公寓在大城市中價格迅速上升,在南方和東部地區價格上漲幅度大。據德國著名統計網站Statista的調查結
果,德國房價在過去六年內翻了一番。
德國聯邦統計局發布的數據顯示,2013年4月德國新建房屋的價格指數上漲5.2%,已建住房價格指數上漲8.7%。其中,增速最快的是柏林,公寓價格的中值是2333歐元/
平方米,比去年上漲9.91%;單戶家庭住宅的均價是1771歐元/平方米,同比上漲6.88%。慕尼黑的房價在德國南部的房地產市場遙遙領先,公寓價格
中值是3053歐元/平方米,散戶家庭住宅均價3951歐元/平方米,同比增長7.2%;奢侈住宅的均價達到9535歐元/平方米。漢堡的房價也不低,公
寓和單戶住宅的價格分別是2850歐元/平方米和2720歐元/平方米,同比增長6.42%。法蘭克福和科隆的房價也上漲了3%和3.87%。
新建住房的需求在大幅增加。統計局數據顯示,2012年德國新增建房許可申請239465例,同比增加4.8%。2012年新建住房20500套,同比
增長9.5%。德國柏林的建築業中心協會預計,如果接下來幾年金融市場利率環境沒有大幅變動,德國私人房地產業將處於增長趨勢。而由於德國的房地產業曾長
期處於低迷狀態,一度導致市場供給滯后。所以,目前德國私人房產市場總體來說處於供不應求的狀態。
當然,這遠不是德國房地產業最興旺的時候。兩德統一后創下紀錄,建成房屋數量603000套,但之後建築業就步入結構性的危機,約造成140萬人失業。除此之外,新建民居數量連年下降,在2009年跌至159000套的歷史低點。至2012年,歐債危機中的德國房地產業實現了25%的增長。
這一趨勢有可能仍將持續。德國建築業中心協會預計,接下來將有約23萬套新建住房完工。該協會估計,2013年德國建築業業務額將增長3.5%。
投資拉動
德國建築業的繁榮,受益於投資者在歐債危機的背景下購買房地產。目前,低廉的貸款利
率也讓越來越多的普通家庭購買屬於自己的居所。2013年以降,如果德國公民購買的或建造的房子超過60平米,就可以獲得5000歐元的政府補貼,利率為
1.4%的低息貸款5萬歐元。如果對舊房做節能改造,比如加厚保溫材料、換節能窗等,改造費用的10%可由政府提供作為補貼,最高上限5000歐元,同樣
也可獲得利率為1.4%的低息貸款5萬歐元。
除了自用,德國的房產投資者可以期待較高的租房收益。在法蘭克福,年租金收益在4.24%至4.68%,柏林的年租金收益在4.29%左右,而慕尼黑的收益率是2.88%至4.66%。
對外國投資者而言,儘管獲得貸款很困難,但房產交易不受購房者的國籍與居住地影響,外國人可以擁有多套房產,並且擁有私人房產的非歐洲居民可以更容易地
獲得簽證,甚至申請德國國籍。在房地產市場看好、私人房產可帶來其他收益的吸引下,南歐各國的富商以及許多中國買家都已加入德國「買房團」。
波蘭華沙經濟大學的德國籍教授Gunter Heiduk認為,由於政府補貼的下降和新建住房供給的不足,房價持續走高。同時,一線大城市房價高漲讓更多的人搬到二線城市居住,導致許多二線城市的房價也在上漲。
另一位業內人士認為,近些年德國房價高企主要是因為供需不平衡。二戰以後,德國政府投入大量資金建設保障房,以低廉的房租提供給廣大中低收入階層。到上
世紀八十年代中期,德國經濟已經經歷了二三十年的高速發展,中產階級完全有能力自己解決住房,而保障房也已經不能滿足絕大部分德國人對住房條件的要求,主
要由外來移民居住。因此,德國各地政府在上世紀八十年代末期大規模削減保障房的投入,住房市場幾乎完全由市場自由操作,造成住房供應明顯下降。東西德統一
后,大量人口湧入西德,造成了原西德地區的住房緊缺。為了刺激住房市場,德國政府給自住房提供經濟補助。然而,由於千禧年後發生的經濟危機,德國政府在
2006年撤銷了這項補助,造成了新建住房量的持續下降。
從需求層面來看,德國各地產業結構不斷變化,二線中等城市的人口緩慢且持續萎縮,農村人口下降的速度更快。同時,一線大城市經濟發展良好,提供新型的就業機會,吸引了大量人口湧入,對住房的需求不斷上升。
2008年次貸危機之後,德國人普遍對各種金融投資產品失去信心,轉而投資房地產。開始時是銀行、保險公司等大型金融機構,而後廣大散戶也加入其中,造成了對房產需求的上升。國外的大型投資集團也看好德國房產市場而大規模湧入。
歐洲央行為了刺激經濟復甦,長期採取低利率貨幣政策,從側面刺激了更多的私人購房需求。同時,歐債危機以來,希臘、西班牙、義大利的富有階層為了尋求安全的投資方式,大量湧入德國房地產市場,尤其是德國一線大城市,造成中高端房源的緊缺。
隨著房價上漲,一線城市的房租也不斷上升,但因為受到德國法律的限制,房租上升還跟不上房價的漲幅,因此造成了租售比的不斷提高。目前,慕尼黑、漢堡、法蘭克福等超一線城市的租售比已經接近30,科隆、杜塞等一線城市也接近25。
鑒於大城市房價高企,德國聯邦政府和幾個州政府都在討論增加保障房的投入,以緩和房源緊缺。但是,保障房針對的是中下層收入的社會階層,並且保障房的建
築用地增加,無形中使其他中高端房產的用地更加減少。在房價上漲的背景下,各地政府對建築用地的供給更加受價格的驅使,待價而沽的做法更為盛行。
目前而言,德國房屋供給在短期內不會緩和。而歐洲經濟復甦緩慢的情況下,南歐炒房團暫時不會撤離德國,大型投資企業也沒有更好的投資方式,房屋需求短期內很難產生大變動。
選戰議題
在短期內供需依然偏緊的形勢之下,可以預期德國大城市的房價還將進一步上漲。而房價問題已經得到政府的重視,日前更是被德國大選推到新的熱度。「控制大
城市房價攀升」被在野的社民黨(SPD)列為重要的選戰議題,執政的基民-基社聯盟(CDU/CSU)也提出幫助首次購房者購買房屋的議題。一方面,這說
明德國對居住權利的重視,另一方面,兩黨之間的選戰爭奪也可見一斑。
同濟大學德國問題研究所伍慧萍教授認為,城市高房租的問題被炒成了
各黨派之間競爭的話題。德國的房屋有商品屬性和社會屬性,住房政策會對此加以區分,前者更多地交給市場,政府也會通過建築儲蓄銀行鼓勵居民自己建房。同
時,德國有很多人在租房,由於德國很多年來一直強調每個人都能享受到住房,所以,德國政府會更多關注社會福利。
但伍慧萍認為,將抑制房
價放入競選議題,是兩黨對議題爭奪的結果。「這次大選中,社民黨實在是被默克爾逼得黔驢技窮,他們提出的主張,如果默克爾覺得好就會採納成自己的主張,比
如最低工資標準。」伍慧萍介紹說,「社民黨提出的社會福利房的一些政策,如果默克爾覺得好也會毫不避諱地放到自己的主張里。社民黨實在想不出別的招兒了,
表示大城市的房租越來越貴,從其一貫強調社會公正的立場來講,提出要抑制高房租。這個主張提出之後,默克爾在自己的主張里也提出要剎住大城市房租高企的現
象。」
兩黨對於抑制房價的議題都是從社會福利政策角度出發,都表示要緩解年輕人在大城市租房成本太高的問題,這些年輕人對競選的影響確實比較大,然而,競選主張里並沒有寫出具體的細節。
2013年9月5日 星期四
2013年8月28日 星期三
German Second-Quarter Property Prices Climb Most in a Year
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-08-15/german-second-quarter-property-prices-climb-the-most-in-a-year.html
By Dalia Fahmy - Aug 15, 2013 5:26 PM GMT+0800
QUOTED from www.Bloomberg.com
German property prices rose by the most in a year in the second quarter as more residents bought homes and office investment increased amid tight supply.
Prices for houses, apartments and residential buildings climbed 4.1 percent from a year earlier, according to an index published by the VDP Association of German Pfandbrief Banks today. The office-price index rose 5.6 percent, giving both measures their best gain since the second quarter of 2012.
“Price developments in German residential property are still being determined by large cities and university towns,” Jens Tolckmitt, VDP’s general manager, said in a statement. “Rising populations and a growing number of households there are leading to continuous demand.”
Housing demand in cities such as Berlin and Frankfurt is outpacing construction as young workers move to areas where jobs are easier to find. Office prices are being pushed higher by institutions seeking a safe investment as the euro area went through a record-long recession that only ended in the last quarter.
Commercial-property investments in Germany, Europe’s largest economy, reached 12.5 billion euros ($16.6 billion) in the first half, the most since 2008, according to data compiled by London-based broker Savills Plc. (SVS)
Prices for owner-occupied apartments rose 6 percent and residential-building prices gained 4.9 percent, driven by a 4.6 percent increase in rents paid on new leases, VDP said.
VDP collects price data from mortgage contracts signed across Germany by its 38 member banks, which include Deutsche Bank AG, Commerzbank AG, Banco Santander SA (SAN) and ING Groep NV. (INGA) The data includes information from all cities, regardless of their size, in which members made loans. By comparison, other German property indexes are based on prices and rents in only the largest cities.
By Dalia Fahmy - Aug 15, 2013 5:26 PM GMT+0800
QUOTED from www.Bloomberg.com
German property prices rose by the most in a year in the second quarter as more residents bought homes and office investment increased amid tight supply.
Prices for houses, apartments and residential buildings climbed 4.1 percent from a year earlier, according to an index published by the VDP Association of German Pfandbrief Banks today. The office-price index rose 5.6 percent, giving both measures their best gain since the second quarter of 2012.
“Price developments in German residential property are still being determined by large cities and university towns,” Jens Tolckmitt, VDP’s general manager, said in a statement. “Rising populations and a growing number of households there are leading to continuous demand.”
Housing demand in cities such as Berlin and Frankfurt is outpacing construction as young workers move to areas where jobs are easier to find. Office prices are being pushed higher by institutions seeking a safe investment as the euro area went through a record-long recession that only ended in the last quarter.
Commercial-property investments in Germany, Europe’s largest economy, reached 12.5 billion euros ($16.6 billion) in the first half, the most since 2008, according to data compiled by London-based broker Savills Plc. (SVS)
Prices for owner-occupied apartments rose 6 percent and residential-building prices gained 4.9 percent, driven by a 4.6 percent increase in rents paid on new leases, VDP said.
VDP collects price data from mortgage contracts signed across Germany by its 38 member banks, which include Deutsche Bank AG, Commerzbank AG, Banco Santander SA (SAN) and ING Groep NV. (INGA) The data includes information from all cities, regardless of their size, in which members made loans. By comparison, other German property indexes are based on prices and rents in only the largest cities.
德国:不担心房地产市场过热
2013年08月08日10:55 来源:经济日报
http://house.people.com.cn/n/2013/0808/c194441-22491426.html
原标题:德国:不担心房地产市场过热
受欧债危机影响的这几年里,德国房地产逐渐升温,新房建造数量和房地产投资逐年上涨。但是,德国的经济学家并不担心会出现房产过热和泡沫经济等问题。
繁荣的房地产市场为提振德国内需作出了贡献,在欧洲及世界经济不景气的情况下为德国经济发展增添了动力。因此,德国政府目前并不采取税收或限制新屋建设等
政策措施限制房地产市场的发展。成交放大 价格攀升
德国联邦统计局7月初公布的数据显示,德国2012年新建房屋数量约为200500套,比2011年增长9.5%,但增幅下降了约5个百分点。德国房 地产协会的报告称,2012年共有约245亿欧元流入德国商业地产,比上年增长8.8%,比2010年增长32.8%,而2013年投资者“仍将对德国商 业地产保持浓厚兴趣”。
德国房地产价格向来以“稳健”著称,但房地产市场的火热不可避免地造成房价的迅速攀升。德国房地产协会的报告显示,预计2013年德国房租价格将上涨3%,居住房屋买卖价格将上涨4.5%。同时,德国商业地产价格预计也将稳步增长。
德国的房地产热与欧洲债务危机,甚至与之前的国际金融危机都有很大关系。2012年,柏林、汉堡、慕尼黑等德国大城市房租比2007年的上涨幅度为18%至30%,全年德国房地产市场交易额达到360亿欧元。
性价比高 市场追捧
德国的房地产之所以热,一个重要原因是由于欧债危机下的低利率,让越来越多的普通居民有能力购买属于自己的住房。当前欧洲央行的基准利率已探至 0.50%的低位,银行按揭利率也跌至历史新低。出于对未来通胀的忧虑及资产保值的考虑,部分德国人也逐渐表现出向银行借贷按揭购房的兴趣。日前德国房地 产协会举行的“德国房地产日”活动上公布的统计数据显示,目前46%的德国家庭拥有自用住房,18%的德国人拥有可供出租的住房或者多住户住宅。另一方 面,在欧债危机久拖不决的情况下,德国许多城市的房产被外国投资者当作个人财产保值的最佳选择之一。越来越多的其他欧盟国家特别是南欧各国的富裕阶层选择 到德国购置中低价房产,从而推动了德国各大城市房租和住宅价格“水涨船高”。
近几年来,选择在德国置产的中国人也越来越多。在德国私人房地产市场看房会上,经常能看到中国人的身影。相比中国楼市,德国房地产市场价格优势明显。 除了价格优势,在德国购房还有居住环境优越,投资风险低,无需长居身份就可置产,享有房产永久产权,以及高规格的建筑质量,完备的法律保障等好处,这些都 成为促使人们选择在德国购房的重要因素。
谨慎投资 严格监管
尽管房价快速上涨,经济学家并不担心德国会出现房产过热和泡沫经济等问题。其根本原因在于,与许多国家房产市场靠高利率贷款按揭的做法形成鲜明对比,德国人在买房这样的重大家庭财产支出上十分谨慎。
在德国,按揭贷款购房通常的做法是最低预付房款的20%,然后按10年期的约定固定利率还款。在德国少有人会选择超过10年期的房屋抵押贷款,这避免 了贷款者可能在经济衰退时出现还贷困难。而来德国购房的外国人也大多选择现金一次性付清,加之德国对于银行大规模信贷杠杆的金融监管十分严格,凡此种种, 保证了房地产的健康度较高。
专家表示,德国房地产价格上涨迅速的区域集中在一些大城市,全国范围来看涨幅并不大,而且从租售比的角度看,德国房地产价格仍然偏低。另外,目前价格上涨主要由基础性住房需求推动,供需关系的平衡并未被打破,德国出现房地产泡沫的危险较小。
记者 王志远
(来源:经济日报)
2013年7月23日 星期二
经济纵横 德国房地产业继续“火”
http://www.dw.de/%E5%BE%B7%E5%9B%BD%E6%88%BF%E5%9C%B0%E4%BA%A7%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A7%E7%BB%AD%E7%81%AB/a-16948079
(德国之声中文网)
然而,这还不是德国房地产业最"火"的时候。两德统一后的1995年,创造了建成房屋数量60万3000套的纪录。之后,建筑业就进入了结构性的危机,大 约造成140万人失业。除此以外,新建民居数量连年下降,在危机之年2009跌至15万9000套的历史低点。从那以后至2012年,欧债危机中的德国房 地产业又实现了25%的增长。
而这一趋势有可能仍将持续。德国建筑业中心协会预计,接下来将有大约23万套新建住房完工。该协会首席经济师盖尔(Andreas
Geyer)向路透社表示:"这一数目还会增加,因为建筑许可的数目也在一路攀升。"该协会估计,2013年德国建筑业业务额将增长3.5%。但漫长的冬
天、长时间降雨以及今年6月的洪水让许多工地被迫停工。盖尔说:"现在就要看我们如何迎头赶上了,但总体情况依然会非常乐观。业务额只会在时间上稍许滞
后。"
中国人看准德国房产
同时,中国人对德国房产的兴趣也越来越浓厚。德国科隆一家开发豪华房地产项目的企业向记者透露,该公司目前正在科隆市中心地区将一片原有的商业用地改建成 高级酒店式公寓。从项目开盘的第一天起,就络绎不绝的有中国客户前来看房询价。在该公司举办的私人买方酒会中,也有许多中国人的身影。在短短一两个月内, 该项目同类户型的价格从每平米4000欧元左右一路飙升至约6000欧元,并仍然处于上涨的态势。
一位来自中国,准备在此购买房产的女士向德国之声表示,德国的历史性低贷款利率和稳定的房价是让她愿意"出手"买房的原因。与北京、上海等各大城市的房价 相比,哪怕是6000欧元一平米的价格也仍然可以让人接受。而德国目前平均大约3%的房产贷款利率是中国所无法比的。而且,这6000欧元一平米的房子位 于德国4大城市之一的中心地带,配有管家、健身中心、酒吧和酒店式的服务。此外,近些年德国人对高级房产物业的兴趣也有所增加。该房产项目开发商表示,此 类房产3至5年后价格翻番不是没有可能。
对于中国国内的买方来说,居留许可和语言是来德国买房的最大两个障碍。德国经济目前在欧洲名列前茅,而且这里空气清新,环境优美,社会福利保障体系完善。 但德国仍不是传统意义上的移民国家。对外来移民的语言能力和工作收入都有严格的规定。尽管如此,德国高规格的建筑质量,房产的永久产权,完备的法律保障和 稳健的价格对于有条件在德国安家的中国人来说,仍然非常具有吸引力。
作者:任琛
责编:叶宣
(德国之声中文网)
德国房地产价格一直以“稳健”著称,而欧债危机下的低利率让德国房地产业着实“火”了好几年。最新统计数据显示,这一趋势仍将持续。而中国买家也早已加入了德国的“买房大军”。
(德国之声中文网)德国房地产热高温持续不降。联邦统计局本周五(7月12日)公布的数据显示,德国2012年新住房修建数量为20万零500套,比
2011年增长了9.5%。但增幅下降了约5个百分点。德国建筑行业从很久之前就开始受益于投资者在债务危机的背景下购买房地产。而且,贷款利息的低下也
让越来越多的普通家庭购买属于自己的住所。这也体现在2012年房产完工数目提高了23%的统计结果中。然而,这还不是德国房地产业最"火"的时候。两德统一后的1995年,创造了建成房屋数量60万3000套的纪录。之后,建筑业就进入了结构性的危机,大 约造成140万人失业。除此以外,新建民居数量连年下降,在危机之年2009跌至15万9000套的历史低点。从那以后至2012年,欧债危机中的德国房 地产业又实现了25%的增长。
中国人看准德国房产
同时,中国人对德国房产的兴趣也越来越浓厚。德国科隆一家开发豪华房地产项目的企业向记者透露,该公司目前正在科隆市中心地区将一片原有的商业用地改建成 高级酒店式公寓。从项目开盘的第一天起,就络绎不绝的有中国客户前来看房询价。在该公司举办的私人买方酒会中,也有许多中国人的身影。在短短一两个月内, 该项目同类户型的价格从每平米4000欧元左右一路飙升至约6000欧元,并仍然处于上涨的态势。
一位来自中国,准备在此购买房产的女士向德国之声表示,德国的历史性低贷款利率和稳定的房价是让她愿意"出手"买房的原因。与北京、上海等各大城市的房价 相比,哪怕是6000欧元一平米的价格也仍然可以让人接受。而德国目前平均大约3%的房产贷款利率是中国所无法比的。而且,这6000欧元一平米的房子位 于德国4大城市之一的中心地带,配有管家、健身中心、酒吧和酒店式的服务。此外,近些年德国人对高级房产物业的兴趣也有所增加。该房产项目开发商表示,此 类房产3至5年后价格翻番不是没有可能。
对于中国国内的买方来说,居留许可和语言是来德国买房的最大两个障碍。德国经济目前在欧洲名列前茅,而且这里空气清新,环境优美,社会福利保障体系完善。 但德国仍不是传统意义上的移民国家。对外来移民的语言能力和工作收入都有严格的规定。尽管如此,德国高规格的建筑质量,房产的永久产权,完备的法律保障和 稳健的价格对于有条件在德国安家的中国人来说,仍然非常具有吸引力。
作者:任琛
责编:叶宣
德國房地產“高燒不退”引發中國人投資興趣
http://big5.xinhuanet.com/gate/big5/news.xinhuanet.com/world/2013-07/15/c_125008780.htm
013年07月15日 10:25:49 來源: 新華國際
013年07月15日 10:25:49 來源: 新華國際
0
【德國之聲電臺網站7月13日報道】題:德國房地產業繼續“火”
德國房地產“熱”高溫持續不降。聯邦統計局7月12日公布的數據顯示,德國2012年的新建住房數量為20.05萬套,比2011年增加了 9.5%,但增幅下降約5個百分點。德國建築行業從很久之前就開始受益于投資者在債務危機的背景下購置房產。較低的貸款利息也促使越來越多普通家庭購買屬 于自己的住所。
然而,這還不是德國房地產業最“火”的時候。兩德統一後的1995年,德國創下建成房屋數量60.3萬套的紀錄。但之後,建築業進入結構性 危機,造成大約140萬人失業。除此之外,新建民居數量連年下降,在危機之年2009年跌至15.9萬套的歷史最低點。從那以後至2012年,歐債危機中 的德國房地產業又實現了25%的增長。
而這一趨勢有可能仍將持續。德國建築業中心協會預計,接下來將有大約23萬套新建住房完工。該協會首席經濟學家安德烈亞斯‧蓋爾向路透社表示:“這一數目還會增加,因為獲批建築許可的數量也在一路攀升。”
同時,中國人對德國房產的興趣也越來越濃厚。德國科隆一家開發豪華房地產項目的公司向記者透露,該公司目前正在將科隆市中心一片原有的商業 用地改建成高級酒店式公寓。從項目開盤的第一天起,前來看房詢價的中國客戶就絡繹不絕。在該公司舉辦的私人買方酒會上,也出現不少中國人的身影。在短短一 兩個月內,該項目同類戶型的價格從每平方米約4000歐元一路飆升至約6000歐元,並仍處于上漲態勢。
一位來自中國、準備在此購房的女士向德國之聲表示,德國的歷史性低貸款利率和穩定的房價是讓她願意“出手”買房的原因。與北京、上海等大城 市的房價相比,哪怕是每平方米6000歐元的價格也仍然可以讓人接受。而德國目前平均大約3%的房貸利率是中國無法相比的。而且,這每平方米6000歐元 的房產位于德國4大城市之一的中心地帶,配有管家、健身中心、酒吧和酒店式的服務。此外,近年來德國人對高級房產物業的興趣也有所增加。項目開發商表示, 此類房產3至5年後價格翻番不是沒有可能。
對于中國國內的買方來說,居留許可和語言是來德國買房的兩個最大障礙。德國經濟狀況目前在歐洲名列前茅,而且這裏空氣清新,環境優美,社會 福利保障體係完善。但德國仍不是傳統意義上的移民國家。對外來移民的語言能力和工作收入都有嚴格的規定。盡管如此,德國高規格的建築質量、房產的永久產 權、完備的法律保障和穩定的價格對于有條件在德國安家的中國人來說,仍然非常具有吸引力。
德國房地產“熱”高溫持續不降。聯邦統計局7月12日公布的數據顯示,德國2012年的新建住房數量為20.05萬套,比2011年增加了 9.5%,但增幅下降約5個百分點。德國建築行業從很久之前就開始受益于投資者在債務危機的背景下購置房產。較低的貸款利息也促使越來越多普通家庭購買屬 于自己的住所。
然而,這還不是德國房地產業最“火”的時候。兩德統一後的1995年,德國創下建成房屋數量60.3萬套的紀錄。但之後,建築業進入結構性 危機,造成大約140萬人失業。除此之外,新建民居數量連年下降,在危機之年2009年跌至15.9萬套的歷史最低點。從那以後至2012年,歐債危機中 的德國房地產業又實現了25%的增長。
而這一趨勢有可能仍將持續。德國建築業中心協會預計,接下來將有大約23萬套新建住房完工。該協會首席經濟學家安德烈亞斯‧蓋爾向路透社表示:“這一數目還會增加,因為獲批建築許可的數量也在一路攀升。”
同時,中國人對德國房產的興趣也越來越濃厚。德國科隆一家開發豪華房地產項目的公司向記者透露,該公司目前正在將科隆市中心一片原有的商業 用地改建成高級酒店式公寓。從項目開盤的第一天起,前來看房詢價的中國客戶就絡繹不絕。在該公司舉辦的私人買方酒會上,也出現不少中國人的身影。在短短一 兩個月內,該項目同類戶型的價格從每平方米約4000歐元一路飆升至約6000歐元,並仍處于上漲態勢。
一位來自中國、準備在此購房的女士向德國之聲表示,德國的歷史性低貸款利率和穩定的房價是讓她願意“出手”買房的原因。與北京、上海等大城 市的房價相比,哪怕是每平方米6000歐元的價格也仍然可以讓人接受。而德國目前平均大約3%的房貸利率是中國無法相比的。而且,這每平方米6000歐元 的房產位于德國4大城市之一的中心地帶,配有管家、健身中心、酒吧和酒店式的服務。此外,近年來德國人對高級房產物業的興趣也有所增加。項目開發商表示, 此類房產3至5年後價格翻番不是沒有可能。
對于中國國內的買方來說,居留許可和語言是來德國買房的兩個最大障礙。德國經濟狀況目前在歐洲名列前茅,而且這裏空氣清新,環境優美,社會 福利保障體係完善。但德國仍不是傳統意義上的移民國家。對外來移民的語言能力和工作收入都有嚴格的規定。盡管如此,德國高規格的建築質量、房產的永久產 權、完備的法律保障和穩定的價格對于有條件在德國安家的中國人來說,仍然非常具有吸引力。
2013年5月23日 星期四
International investors return to German real estate market (IPE)
May 10
http://www.ipe.com/news/international-investors-return-to-german-real-estate-market_52152.php#.UZ76uZziivE
GERMANY – Transaction volumes in the German property market are continuing to grow mainly due to heightened interest from international investors, according to Deutsche Hypo.
A report by the mortgage bank found that investment activity reached €59bn in 2012, comparable with transaction levels in 2004, but still below the €110bn annual volumes of 2006 and 2007.
After the financial crisis, the share of foreign investors had fallen to 8%, but it is now back up to 40%.
The report said international investors such as private equity companies were "by far the most important stakeholders on the German real estate investment market", followed by real estate Spezialfonds, insurers and Pensionskassen, real estate listed companies and REITs, open-ended real estate funds, real estate leasing funds and closed-end funds.
The findings were revealed at the same time that opportunistic Swiss-based fund manager Corestate Capital announced it had acquired €290m in "German stressed property acquisitions".
The portfolio deal included six office buildings with steady cash flows and debt restructuring and redevelopment potential, and 6,000 residential units acquired from a forced administration.
The acquisition follows recent deals by Austrian Erste Bank for large portfolios of residential assets.
Andreas Pohl, board member at Deutsche Hypo, said Germany's reputation as a safe haven has been "strengthened further" because of the economic environment and the opportunities for attractive real estate investments, as spreads over other investments were at an all-time high.
Deutsche Hypo expects transaction volumes for the whole of 2013 to reach a similar level to last year.
However, over the medium term, an "overheating of the market cannot be ruled out completely", as investors' risk appetite is returning.
It also said the supply of core real estate was "fading", but that foreign investors still had an "overabundance of liquidity" to invest.
http://www.ipe.com/news/international-investors-return-to-german-real-estate-market_52152.php#.UZ76uZziivE
GERMANY – Transaction volumes in the German property market are continuing to grow mainly due to heightened interest from international investors, according to Deutsche Hypo.
A report by the mortgage bank found that investment activity reached €59bn in 2012, comparable with transaction levels in 2004, but still below the €110bn annual volumes of 2006 and 2007.
After the financial crisis, the share of foreign investors had fallen to 8%, but it is now back up to 40%.
The report said international investors such as private equity companies were "by far the most important stakeholders on the German real estate investment market", followed by real estate Spezialfonds, insurers and Pensionskassen, real estate listed companies and REITs, open-ended real estate funds, real estate leasing funds and closed-end funds.
The findings were revealed at the same time that opportunistic Swiss-based fund manager Corestate Capital announced it had acquired €290m in "German stressed property acquisitions".
The portfolio deal included six office buildings with steady cash flows and debt restructuring and redevelopment potential, and 6,000 residential units acquired from a forced administration.
The acquisition follows recent deals by Austrian Erste Bank for large portfolios of residential assets.
Andreas Pohl, board member at Deutsche Hypo, said Germany's reputation as a safe haven has been "strengthened further" because of the economic environment and the opportunities for attractive real estate investments, as spreads over other investments were at an all-time high.
Deutsche Hypo expects transaction volumes for the whole of 2013 to reach a similar level to last year.
However, over the medium term, an "overheating of the market cannot be ruled out completely", as investors' risk appetite is returning.
It also said the supply of core real estate was "fading", but that foreign investors still had an "overabundance of liquidity" to invest.
Author: Barbara Ottawa
2013年5月2日 星期四
Berlin real estate, rents spike amid foreign investment (USATODAY)
Janelle Dumalaon, Special for USA TODAY 12:10 a.m. EDT April 29, 2013
Locals say skyrocketing rents threaten the vibrant, creative vibe of the city as well as their homes.
BERLIN — Michael Heinze says his landlord is trying to force him out of his trendy Kreuzberg-district apartment — the owner wants to sell it because these days, Berlin property has become lucrative.
"He accused me of not paying the rent, of defamation, of all sorts of things to try and intimidate me into moving out," said Heinze, 69, who says his rent has doubled in the past few years. "It got to the point where I started to wonder if he had a machine constantly churning out eviction notices."
Long a mecca for artists and other creative types with its cheap housing, hip neighborhoods and "poor but sexy" character, Berlin's property values have jumped 30% to 50% in the past three years, and doubled in the past eight. That has led to locals fretting over the skyrocketing rents they say threaten the vibrant, creative vibe of their city as well as their homes.
That sharp increase in real estate prices is attributed to the financial crisis in 2008 and the euro crisis that followed, analysts say, as concerned Europeans looked for somewhere to safely park their cash. While property has generally been seen as a safe investment, German property has been viewed as the safest bet — especially in cheap Berlin, where real estate goes for far lower than in other European capitals.
As a result, Greeks, Spaniards and Italians — anxious over the financial future of their cash-strapped economies at home — poured in to buy.
"Many buyers were feeling so insecure that they would try and buy apartments blindly, without having seen them," recalled Ruth Stirati, head of a real estate firm in Berlin that specializes in catering to Italian buyers. "The worse the crisis became, the more inquiries we received."
Stirati said business spiked sharply in November 2011 – two months after the Italian parliament passed a raft of austerity measures that prompted mass demonstrations on the streets of Rome.
Rocketing property prices don't seem to be putting off Stirati's clients, who say Berlin remains as attractive as ever.
Italian filmmaker Franco Fracassi, 47, bought two apartments in Berlin in March and points out that although property values are increasing, prices still seem fantastically cheap compared with Rome.
"In Rome, an apartment goes for a least five times the price," said Fracassi. "It's just not a normal market there."
In addition to the income from renting out his apartments, Fracassi said he invested in Berlin because he likes the city.
"It's a nice city and I have not ruled out moving my family over there," he said.
Italian banker Valter Badariotti, 40, said he bought three properties in Berlin because London and Paris were too expensive. He also worries about the deteriorating economic situation in Italy.
"I have to think of the future," he said. "My children, ages 3 and 5, might go to university in Berlin."
These euro crisis refugees, however are causing an uproar in Berlin, with locals blaming Greeks and Italians for the steep property price hikes. It has even become an issue taken up by all political parties ahead of September's federal elections.
Even so, Roland Bomhard, head of real estate at law firm Hogan Lovells, says buyers investing in Berlin residential real estate are still overwhelmingly German, with foreigners accounting for only roughly 30% of all new buyers in recent years.
"(Mortgages) are really cheap in Germany and readily available for residential investment, much cheaper than in basically any other country in the eurozone," he said. "In Berlin you buy the stability of Germany with almost an Eastern European perspective for growth."
Lucas Bauernfeind, 28, a native Berliner, says the city is no stranger to change, and the shift in attitudes toward property ownership as well as the property boom is just the latest thing to hit the city.
"It's like that famous quote – 'Berlin is a city condemned always to become, never to be,' " he said.
Even so, some locals continue to fight to keep their city's character intact and residents in their homes.
"No to speculation!" chanted protesters defending residents of a building in Berlin's well-heeled Mitte district from being driven out last week after eviction notices were sent by its owners looking to sell. "We're all staying!"
Retiree Angela de Ridder, 65, is fighting the same fight. Since 1976, de Ridder has lived in an apartment in a converted factory.
The landlord is trying to evict her to sell the building, she said.
Neither Heinze's nor de Ridder's landlords could be reached for comment.
"When I moved in, this apartment had nothing — no sockets, no fixtures, just cold running water — I built everything in myself," she said. "My rent has gone up eight times since I moved in. If they manage to evict me, they could probably sell this flat for around a million euros."
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